Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 3.003678e-01 4.038023e-01 0.524265 0.672717 0.848521 1.047946 1.289085
2025-12-14 1.642810e-01 2.844685e-01 0.447734 0.675377 0.974255 1.343441 1.823729
2025-12-21 8.424103e-02 1.964485e-01 0.376510 0.659316 1.065899 1.604379 2.345565
2025-12-28 4.472913e-02 1.452145e-01 0.336021 0.669665 1.186920 1.910365 2.949013
2026-01-04 2.181302e-02 1.059252e-01 0.297695 0.669922 1.287712 2.193217 3.539438
2026-01-11 8.502926e-03 7.228023e-02 0.253259 0.645791 1.342804 2.410702 4.049909
2026-01-18 2.712267e-03 4.953587e-02 0.218829 0.628174 1.401273 2.632524 4.574480
2026-01-25 7.199146e-04 3.609500e-02 0.198765 0.631833 1.492791 2.907219 5.185993
2026-02-01 4.916137e-05 2.317867e-02 0.169637 0.606925 1.527705 3.092120 5.669873
2026-02-08 5.249723e-07 1.834791e-02 0.164414 0.634723 1.661206 3.441097 6.413425
2026-02-15 NaN 1.278219e-02 0.150191 0.636067 1.742597 3.707055 7.038075
2026-02-22 NaN 1.118744e-02 0.153921 0.684961 1.921560 4.143639 7.940771
2026-03-01 NaN 8.734406e-03 0.150415 0.714653 2.067061 4.535098 8.794087
2026-03-08 NaN 6.043675e-03 0.140781 0.724417 2.172269 4.862646 9.558242
2026-03-15 NaN 3.493029e-03 0.125123 0.711073 2.226458 5.103188 10.190991
2026-03-22 NaN 2.278174e-03 0.118268 0.723816 2.337940 5.449061 11.002879
2026-03-29 NaN 1.288842e-03 0.108944 0.725025 2.422874 5.749704 11.748168
2026-04-05 NaN 4.908862e-04 0.093973 0.699974 2.444173 5.934365 12.307052
2026-04-12 NaN 1.463197e-04 0.082090 0.681559 2.478075 6.142237 12.908537
2026-04-19 NaN 4.311967e-05 0.076145 0.685555 2.566077 6.453967 13.690661
2026-04-26 NaN 1.170719e-06 0.064666 0.659225 2.575302 6.615689 14.222765
2026-05-03 NaN 4.185092e-08 0.064722 0.688709 2.729162 7.060024 15.244675
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.059666 0.690148 2.809966 7.365056 16.034284